Round by Round
Breakouts, Studs, Sleepers, Late Round Fliers and more…
Round by Round is a series of articles written about NFL players from every round of your fantasy football draft. I am using their ADP (Average Draft Position – FantasyPros ADP) to determine what round they currently are in, and I am basing this on 12 team leagues. Some of these players you may know, and some you might not know at all. It is our goal to help you make the best decisions in your fantasy football redraft leagues. I’m not necessarily advocating for drafting these players over other players. I am just drawing some attention to players you may overlook because you forgot what they have done or you don’t know much about them to begin with or I just feel like talking about them.
ROUND ONE, FIGHT!
In the first round, we have the usual suspects in Antonio Brown, Le’Veon Bell, Odell Beckham Jr., and maybe this season you can include Ezekiel Elliott, Melvin Gordon, and Todd Gurley in that group too. We should have Julio Jones in that mix, but last years performance caused his stock to drop – Julio Jones is a value in the 2nd round. Instead, deservingly, DeAndre Hopkins replaced him there. Those are your safe, everyone knows who they are, consistent players in the first round, but what about the lesser known players? There are a few: David Johnson, Alvin Kamara, Saquon Barkley, Kareem Hunt & Leonard Fournette. I mean, it’s the first round, so you probably know these guys, but here goes anyway…
The first “lesser known” NFL PLayer is running back David Johnson, who only had one and a half seasons on the Arizona Cardinals to capture our attentions. So, we might know that he’s good because he’s going 4th overall, after-all, but how good is he?
In 2015, his rookie season, starting behind Chris Johnson and Andre Ellington, David Johnson broke out with 1038 all purpose yards, and 12 touchdowns. He had a few touchdowns at the beginning of the season, but it wasn’t until week 13, when Arizona gave him the rock 22 times, that we realized how extremely good David Johnson is going to be in the NFL. What we saw in college translated into perfect NFL form.
David Johnson had 2118 all purpose yards, and 20 touchdowns in 2016. That’s why everyone believed in him in 2017, but he injured his wrist in the opening game and missed the rest of the season.
Yes, it’s true that Carson Palmer is gone, big deal. Good. Yes, it’s true that his offense isn’t all that great, on paper, yet, this season, but traditionally the Cardinals have been a good team, and I am considering last year a fluky anomaly for the franchise.
Anyway, they have Rosen and Bradford at the Helm. If Bradford can stay healthy he’s a mighty fine QB. Even if Bradford can’t stay healthy, Josh Rosen is waiting to light the world on fire. More about Rosen when we get to undrafted players.
What I’m saying is that either way, from the QB perspective, David Johnson is going to be fine. Even if their offensive line is shaky, which it is, there are enough talented pass catchers on the team to force defenses to respect the passing game, which includes David Johnson, Larry Fitzgerald, Ricky Seals-Jones, Brice Butler, (JJ Nelson?) and now rookie Christian Kirk, who is going to be fantasy relevant this season.
David Johnson is going to be in the first round conversation again next year, barring injury, of course. I like him as the 4th off the board because I project him to be a top 5 RB at the end of this season. His 1000 yard rushing, 1000 yard receiving goal is not too far fetched.
The biggest risk for Johnson right now is holding out and not going to camp because he’s statistically more likely to get injured if he misses camp. Le’Veon Bell has the same increased injury risk because he’s holding out of camp too. I completely understand where they are coming from, the NFL being a business, and their livelihoods, and careers being at stake. I believe these players should be taken care of, so that if they get seriously injured, especially in camp, their lives don’t spiral into chaos, which is why they want contractual protection. I would too.
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