This matchup should be epic. Both Defenses have been coming on stronger as the season progresses towards seeding and the playoffs.
The Chargers are most likely going to miss an important offensive weapon in Melvin Gordon, and Ekeler is looking like he’s in a similar boat leaving the running game to rookie 7th rounder Justin Jackson. He didn’t look great in his limited play, but in college he was outstanding. He dropped to the 7th round out of fear that his legs may succumb to injury or fatigue easily due to the many miles he put on them in college. He is not injured, and he is relatively fresh. I think this is his coming out party, if the Chargers use him. Although, I suspect they may do a lot more throwing with Veteran Philip Rivers because they wont want to rely on their rookie runner too much in this CRUCIAL divisional game.
Speaking of Running Backs, Kareem Hunt will be sorely missed this week and in the coming weeks, especially with the injury to Spencer Ware and the limitations of the talent behind him (possibly including him). I would not want to consider starting Damien Williams in my fantasy Playoffs. Beware, and beware…and, beware!
With that said (written), I believe this game script will be conducive to the pass catchers on both sides: Keenan Allen, Tyreek Hill (if he plays), The Williams’ Mike and Tyrell, Travis Benjamin, Travis Kelce, Demarcus Robinson, Chris Conley.
Some thoughts: The Chargers Defense is better, especially with Joey Bosa back in the mix. Their secondary could be better, but still on par if not edged over the Chiefs. They are playing in Arrowhead. The Chiefs being at home may give them an edge, but they don’t have the caliber of wide receivers (Tyreek Hill is hobbled at best, even if he does play) that the chargers do, and both QB’s are elite. It should be a high scoring game.
So, I will choose the over 52.5 points with the Chargers winning on the road in Arrowhead ultimately because their Defense will prevail. Plus, the Chargers are getting 3.5 points.